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Basic Statistics for Data Analysis / Module 8

Module 8 worksheet

Module 8 Worksheet: Hypothesis Testing and p-values

Scenario

A test result has come back and someone has already written the sentence they intend to publish.

Data

Dataset: hypothesis-test-scenarios.csv

study_idquestionp_valueeffect_size_notepractical_importancecaution
HT01Did the new reminder increase worksheet completion?0.041Completion rose by 2 percentage pointslowStatistical significance may not be practically useful.
HT02Did Group A score higher than Group B?0.180Mean difference was 3 pointsunclearSample evidence is weak; do not claim a real difference.
HT03Did the new lesson layout reduce reading time?0.004Average time fell by 40 secondsmediumCheck whether faster reading harmed understanding.
HT04Did one of ten tested messages perform best?0.049Winner beat second place by 1 percentage pointlowMultiple testing makes the result fragile.
HT05Did practice quizzes improve final review scores?0.030Mean score rose by 8 pointsmediumCheck assignment process before using causal language.

Your Task

For each scenario, write the p-value meaning, the practical-size note, and one caution.

Questions

  1. What exactly does this p-value mean?
  2. What does their sentence claim instead?
  3. How many comparisons were made in total?
  4. How does that change how one result should be read?
  5. What effect size accompanies the p-value?
  6. What would you want alongside it before acting?
  7. What is the honest one-sentence report?

Write Your Conclusion

Write the report you would defend, including the estimate, the interval, the p-value and the number of tests run.

Self-Check

  • Did I state the p-value's meaning correctly?
  • Did I ask how many tests were run?
  • Did I report an effect size, not only significance?
  • Would my sentence survive a sceptical reader?